Wall Street predicts 'Catching Fire' will 'be biggest movie of 2013'
It's possible, but there will be stiff competition
Will it perform as well as, or even surpass, "The Hunger Games"?
Although "The Hunger Games" had a domestic gross of $408M, it's overseas gross was only $278.5M, bringing its worldwide grosses to $686.5M. That is an impressive profit margin when you consider that the movie had a $78M production budget.
Bing: More about 'The Hunger Games' | More about 'Catching Fire'
But compared to that other mega teen franchise, "The Twilight Saga," it is evident that "The Hunger Games'' overseas audience is not as strong as its home audience. Not yet, at least.
As an example, let's compare the numbers to the highest domestic-grossing "Twilight" movie, "Eclipse"—it had a $300.5M domestic gross, but $398M overseas. The numbers for the last installment, "Breaking Dawn, Part 2," are even more astonishing: $289.2M domestic, but a whopping $524.7M overseas, for a worldwide gross of $813.9M.
Forbes seems to agree:
"I think Catching Fire is going to be huge in the U.S. but when you take the international box office into account, the film will struggle to be the top grossing of 2013. The first 'Hunger Games' movie was the only film of the ten highest-grossing at the global box office that earned less overseas than it did in the U.S. Only 40% of 'The Hunger Games' $687 million came from outside of the U.S. Compare that to 'The Avengers,' the highest-grossing film of 2012 with $1.5 billion at the global box office. Sixty percent of that film’s gross came from overseas.... Unless 'Catching Fire' suddenly catapults the 'Hunger Games' movies to greater popularity overseas, the film will struggle to top the box office for the year."
There will be serious competition at the box office in 2013, with many movies that appeal to the geeks and teens: "Iron Man 3," "Man of Steel," "Star Trek Into Darkness" and the second "Hobbit" film. It's going to be a fantastic year of movies!
Share your thoughts in the comments.
Before Avengers, I would have said that maybe Hunger Games edges out Iron Man 3. I think Iron Man will take the crown this year mainly because a lot of people are going to want to see the begining of the Phase 2 movies that will lead up to Avengers 2. Superman could be a little bit of a sleeper, some are skeptical that another reboot is coming out so soon after the dissapointing Superman Returns. If word of mouth is good on Superman it could take the top spot.
Either way, you're most likely looking at the top 5 movies of the year moneywise.
This is for Argaenei...
Cavalier was a poor choice of word to use in reference to our country's additude towards violence and no, there was certainly nothing passe about Newtown. But with our penchant for violent films, video games, the number of assault weapons on our streets and the battle to get rid of them, I would have to say that America doesn't really care as much about violence as they say they do (even after a horrific tragedy that we tend to move on from in just a few weeks time). If we really were as bothered by violence as we claim, we would make it illegal in this country to own a weapon of war because in reality, no one needs one. For anything. Except to commit mass murder. Were not cavalier about violence but were not impassioned enough about it to really do anything to fix it. Not yet anyway. And if the slaughter of 20 babies isn't going to do it, then what is?
These people that are making this prediction know nothing about movies and what people watch.
Iron Man 3, Epic, Man of Steel, The Hobbit:DoS and Star Trek Into Darkness will all be larger hits than any Hunger Games crap that comes out.
I have heard so much about how well written these books are and how terrific the first film was, but...I just couldn't get past the premise of children slaughtering children...for any reason and therefore, I have not partaken of THG. I don't disparage others for reading and watching, but this "type" of violence just doesn't peak my interest. If anyone can convince me to give it a go (and more than a few of my friends have tried), I'm open to persuasion. What is so amazing about this story that I should find the murder of children entertaining? Someone please enlighten me.
P.S. With our cavalier additude towards violence in our society, I'm not surprised this story has done better in America than overseas.