MSN Movies Blog

'The Hunger Games' On Track To Beat 'Breaking Dawn'

Finally, good taste and common sense prevail

By Corwin Neuse Mar 12, 2012 8:02PM
Good vs. Evil. David vs. Goliath. Red Sox vs. Yankees. Boxers vs. Briefs. Democrats vs. Republicans. Shampoo vs. Conditioner. These are but a few of the eternal, everlasting conflicts that have long captured man's imagination.

Get ready to add "The Hunger Games" vs. "Twilight" to that list.

According to The Hollywood Reporter, advanced tracking statistics now have "The Hunger Games" out-grossing "Twilight: Breaking Dawn - Part I" its opening weekend. As if the growing flame war between the two series' respective fan-bases needed more fuel.

For those who don't remember—or would prefer not to—"Breaking Dawn" made approximately $140 million on its opening weekend back in November, the fifth biggest of all time. Early tracking numbers had "The Hunger Games" making around $70 million, but that estimate has been repeatedly revised upwards as awareness grows of the film's March 23rd release.

The main differences between "Hunger Games" and "Twilight?" Apparently, that it actually has some appeal outside of 14 year old girls. According to the numbers, 28% of men younger than 25 years old are interested in seeing Jennifer Lawrence brutally murder a bunch of teenagers, whereas only 10% of those polled were interested in seeing Taylor Lautner fall in love with a newborn baby. For men older than 25, those numbers change to 20% for "Games" vs. only 8% for "Twilight." Which suggests that men not only have better taste as they grow older, but generally have better things to do than go to see young adult adaptations. At least in the theater.

What do you think, Hitlisters? Will you go see "The Hunger Games" opening weekend? How much do you think it will earn? And where do you come down on the great "Twilight" vs. "Hunger Games" debate? As always, let us know in the comments...
16Comments
Mar 13, 2012 9:33AM
avatar
I am a mom of 3 and my oldest daughter who is 12 wanted me to read the books.  So I did, and I loved them as much as she.  We will be going to the midnight showing for the Hunger Games, just like we did for Harry Potter.  The books are more than they appear, and can appeal to a broad spectrum of readers, much the way Harry Potter has.  We are really excited, the movie looks great!!
Mar 13, 2012 10:18AM
avatar
I am a mom of 3 and my oldest daughter who is 12 wanted me to read the books.  So I did, and I loved them as much as she. 
It's funny you say that, Amy - I actually had no idea that the series was technically for "young adults" before I read the books.  I'm simply a fan of the post-apocalyptic genre and kept hearing about The Hunger Games trilogy in that vein.  

I ended up reading all three in a couple days while getting over the flu, and I really enjoyed them . . . even as a 30-something year old guy (haha).  In fact, it's probably a good thing that I didn't know they were for "young adults," because I probably wouldn't have read them.  It will be interesting to see how well they translate to the big screen.  
Mar 13, 2012 10:18AM
avatar

Quick question... on the list of conflicts, why do they put "republicans" on the evil side?  Just curious!

 

Anyway, I have not read any of the books for either series, but I AM interested in seeing The Hunger Games.  I hope that it smashes Twilight into the ground and beyond!

Mar 13, 2012 11:43AM
avatar
Spectacular book, reads like a screenplay so I think this is one movie that has a chance to do the book justice for once!  Post-apoco is my favorite, this definitely isn't a kids book - has very mature themes, tragically flawed and complex characters; DON'T MISS OUT! 
Mar 13, 2012 1:11PM
avatar
This is certainly NOT a commentary on the Twilight movies( which I thought were a pale imitation of the books), but why can't I love both The Hunger Games and Twilight equally and without reservation?
Mar 13, 2012 1:07PM
avatar
I have read both Twilight and Hunger Games books and definitely prefer Hunger Games.  Plus I agree with jennajedi - HG does seem to read more like a screenplay and I think will make a better movie, with a broader appeal.  Of course, some of that may have to do with the quality of director and actors too. I seem to like Katniss better than Bella too.
Mar 13, 2012 1:53PM
avatar
"Quick question... on the list of conflicts, why do they put "republicans" on the evil side?  Just curious!"

I guess that makes briefs, conditioner and The Yankees on the evil side too...

Okay, you do have a point about The Yankees.
Mar 13, 2012 12:04PM
avatar
I already read both series and I have to say that The hunger Games is much better than Twilight in every way. But I love Bella and Katniss characters.
Mar 13, 2012 1:12PM
avatar

And the myth (spun by the media) continues. That Twilight (currently at 2.5 billion and most likely to finish off at over 3 billion at the world wide box office), is fueled "exclusively" by teenage girls. There aren't enough teenage girls on the planet to put up those kinds of numbers. The core audience for this film series is adult women. Why this is dismissed is beyond me. Perhaps because if it's recognized that there's more than just screaming children here, that there might be some...oh I dunno...some significance to it that no one wants to address? It's just a little supernatural fairy tale. Nothing to be afraid of. As for THG...

I'm assuming it will do better than Twilight because with it's violent subject matter, it will have a wider appeal, most especially amoungst the young male demographic which is the most sought after by Hollywood. I wish it well and hope that some of the media spotlight goes in it's direction and off of Pattinson and Stewart. After nearly four years, they've had quite enough. Speaking of, that is one thing that THG will not have going for it, an off screen real life romance between the leads which has kept fan and media interest sky high. What I don't understand is why the media is trying to create a competition between these two stories. Do they do this with Batman and Spiderman? X-Men and Pirates? Or could it be with Twilight and THG (thus far) that the audience is predominately female and the stories revolve around young women? Nothing like a good cat fight huh fellas? Now if they could only find a way to get  Bella and Katniss into a couple of bikinis and have them wrestle in the mud.

And even if THG does outgross Twilight, will that automatically write Twilight off as now a failure or that it didn't matter at all? Some in the media would love to write that. They want so badly to write this off as nothing. But they have a problem. This is a story that has marched across nations and cultures to the tune of billions of dollars, they can't figure out why and they don't know how to properly dismiss it so they mock it like bullies on a playground.

I wish THG a great launch and Twilight as great conclusion.  

Mar 13, 2012 11:48AM
avatar

le I am not a fan of Twilight that has nothing to do with my opinion that “The Hunger Games” will become the dominating of the two movies at the Box Office. These are one of the few books that are hard to put down and one that people actually are willing to pick up which is not easy in this media crazy society. The Hunger Games as the article puts it, attracts a wider fan base from kids to adults. This and the fact that it possesses a solid cast made up of newcomer Jenifer Lawrence and well-known stars such as Stanley Tucci, Woody Harrelson, and Elizabeth Banks. This will not only appeal to those who are reading it but any individual that would like to see an action packed film that has a novelty of what happens when kids are left to fight for the lives.

Mar 13, 2012 2:52PM
avatar
I try real hard not to ever take anything on a comment site too seriously. Someday I think I'm the only one.
Mar 13, 2012 1:12PM
avatar

I read all The Hunger Games novels in less than a week, Blew..me..away. 

Can't wait to see how it works on the big screen.

 

I have not read the twilight books, just saw the movies. 

 

having been an a voracious reader most of my life The Hunger Games is well worth the time to Read.

Mar 19, 2012 11:21PM
avatar
I am a reader to beat all readers, and I have read The Hunger Games at least five times.  I, for one, can't wait to see the movie, but I will not be going opening weekend.  I will wait until the fanfare diesdown a bit and the theater won't be standing room only, then I will go and enjoy this well-worth-waiting-for-movie!
Mar 14, 2012 1:19AM
avatar
I have read both series and enjoyed them both. They are two different types of novels and I cannot pick a favorite yet. I have also watched all of the films made for the Twilight series. It is true, just like Hollywood, they alway need to modify everything they touch, so you do not get the actual book. But they have come close enough to enjoy. As for the Hunger Games, I am expecting them to change that too. Let's us see how they do. As for the debate, I look to HG as it is reflective of a possible future and not on fantasy(Vampires). Just to keep things straight, I enjoy fantasy stories.
Mar 13, 2012 2:05PM
avatar

@janet1964828 - LOL, yup!  briefs can be really evil!  Can't say so much about conditioner... but definitely briefs and The Yankees.

 

Anyway, thanks for not taking my earlier post too seriously! :)

avatar

Have not yet read the Hunger Games.

I am a HUGE Twilight fan.  Loved the books and movies.

I hope Twilight stays on top.

 

Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?
showtimes & tickets
Search by location, title, or genre: